Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 27-14 roll
The Detroit Lions and Las Vegas Raiders can get back on the winning track on Monday Night Football in NFL Week 8. The Lions (5-2) had won four in a row before a 38-6 loss to the Ravens last week. The Raiders (3-4) saw their modest two-game win streak snapped in Chicago when they fell 30-12 to the Bears eight days ago. Detroit quarterback Jared Goff leads one of the top offenses, while Las Vegas will welcome quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo back from a concussion and back injury to stabilize its unit. The teams last met in 2019, a 32-24 Raiders victory in Oakland. Lions receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown was questionable with an illness, but is active for MNF.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at Ford Field. Detroit is a seven-point favorite, and the over/under for total points scored is 46.5 in the latest Raiders vs. Lions odds from SportsLine consensus. Before you make any Lions vs. Raiders picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 173-122 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 27-14 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Raiders vs. Lions 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Vikings vs. 49ers:
Raiders vs. Lions spread: Detroit -7
Raiders vs. Lions Over/Under: 46.5 points
Raiders vs. Lions money line: Las Vegas +282, Detroit -358
LV: Raiders are 4-4 against the spread as road underdogs under Josh McDaniels (since 2022)
DET: Lions are 15-5 against the spread at home under coach Dan Campbell (since 2021)
Raiders vs. Lions picks: See picks at SportsLine
Raiders vs. Lions live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Lions can cover
Detroit is 14-3 against the spread over its past 17 games, the best in the league over that span. It has the NFL’s fourth-best offense, averaging 377 yards per game, and No. 5 passing game (259). The Lions’ defense is second against the run (76.3). Defensive end Aidan Hutchinson, who has 4.5 sacks, an interception and two fumble recoveries, will try to get after Jimmy Garoppolo.
The Raiders lead the NFL in turnovers with 15, and 12 of those are interceptions, including eight from Garoppolo in five starts. Goff is fifth in the NFL in passing yards with 1,902 and has 11 TD passes. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been the quarterback’s top target and has four 100-yard games. Jahmyr Gibbs will carry the load in the backfield with David Montgomery out, and the rookie is averaging 4.9 yards per carry. Las Vegas allows 129 rushing yards per game (24th in NFL). See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Raiders can cover
Detroit allowed 501 yards to the Ravens last week, 357 through the air. The Raiders are 3-2, with losses to Buffalo and Pittsburgh, with starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo under center. Garoppolo has completed 68% of his passes for 1,079 yards and seven TDs. Receiver Davante Adams has 528 receiving yards, while Jakobi Myers has 385 despite the quarterback issues.
Las Vegas is 6-1 against the spread in its past seven Monday Night Football games, and running back Josh Jacobs is an X-factor. The NFL’s leading rusher in 2022 (1,653 yards) is averaging just 2.9 yards per carry, but has 26 receptions and 562 total yards. The Lions yielded 146 rushing yards last week and allow 21.6 points per game (19th in NFL). Las Vegas is 10th in total defense and fifth against the pass (187 yards per game). Maxx Crosby has 6.5 sacks, and Lions quarterback Jared Goff has been sacked 15 times. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Lions vs. Raiders picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting 50 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine.